Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.001156 0.001305 0.001454 0.001614 0.001780 0.001947 0.002127
2025-12-07 0.000929 0.001145 0.001367 0.001612 0.001871 0.002137 0.002428
2025-12-14 0.000727 0.000989 0.001267 0.001580 0.001919 0.002272 0.002663
2025-12-21 0.000605 0.000906 0.001235 0.001613 0.002029 0.002466 0.002956
2025-12-28 0.000464 0.000787 0.001153 0.001584 0.002064 0.002575 0.003154
2026-01-04 0.000367 0.000708 0.001109 0.001589 0.002133 0.002717 0.003382
2026-01-11 0.000275 0.000624 0.001052 0.001575 0.002175 0.002826 0.003572
2026-01-18 0.000200 0.000552 0.001002 0.001565 0.002218 0.002932 0.003756
2026-01-25 0.000117 0.000452 0.000910 0.001499 0.002194 0.002961 0.003851
2026-02-01 0.000066 0.000385 0.000855 0.001473 0.002212 0.003034 0.003993
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000342 0.000826 0.001476 0.002262 0.003140 0.004169
2026-02-15 0.000015 0.000311 0.000810 0.001494 0.002327 0.003262 0.004362
2026-02-22 0.000002 0.000287 0.000816 0.001555 0.002462 0.003487 0.004695
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000232 0.000772 0.001551 0.002522 0.003626 0.004935
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000169 0.000708 0.001519 0.002546 0.003725 0.005130
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000141 0.000693 0.001551 0.002647 0.003912 0.005424
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000094 0.000636 0.001521 0.002671 0.004008 0.005614
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000065 0.000606 0.001526 0.002736 0.004151 0.005855
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000037 0.000565 0.001512 0.002775 0.004262 0.006059
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000016 0.000528 0.001502 0.002817 0.004375 0.006264
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000458 0.001437 0.002788 0.004401 0.006369
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000416 0.001412 0.002807 0.004484 0.006535
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000394 0.001415 0.002861 0.004607 0.006748